Welcome to Ethical Research Solution’s essential data hub for the major events World Cup 2022™. We’ll keep you updated on the predictions, standings, sponsorship trends, fan insights and our perspective on it all.
Follow along as we track the intel you need—on and off the field.
2022 Predictions
Forecasts for who will advance and win World Cup Qatar
data management’s 2022 World Cup predictions bracket
See our forecast for who will win
Last Updated December 4, 2022
Last Updated 11/16/2022
Predictions are based on over one million simulations that produce estimates showing the most likely team to fill each position in the knockout stages. During the 2022 World Cup, the simulation will be run after each day’s results to produce a new forecast which takes account of the latest information. The new forecast will be uploaded daily to this hub.
World Cup 2022 round predictions powered by data management
See which teams are most likely to advance.
Last Updated December 4, 2022
2022 World Rankings
The top influencers and current standings of the men's national teams
The World Cup’s most powerful players and teams on Instagram
These players consistently score the most views and engagement. The change in the world ranking is compared to the beginning of 2022.
| Rank | Player Name | Country | Club | Instagram handle | Followers | Follower growth | Engagement rate | Average media value of branded posts (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristiano Ronaldo | Portugal | Al-Nassr | @cristiano | 398.2M | 36.92% | 1.99% | $3,699,128 |
| 2 | Leo Messi | Argentina | PSG | @leomessi | 518.8M | 36.23% | 2.28% | $3,249,346 |
| 3 | Neymar | Brazil | PSG | @neymarjr | 196.4M | 17.41% | 1.82% | $1,378,069 |
| 4 | Kylian Mbappé | France | PSG | @k.mbappe | 82.9M | 29.63% | 3.92% | $1,178,442 |
| 5 | Viní Jr. | Brazil | Real Madrid | @vinijr | 27.8M | 109.43% | 9.24% | $786,532 |
| 6 | Gavi | Spain | FC Barcelona | @pablogavi | 12.1M | 754.09% | 26.76% | $751,014 |
| 7 | Karim Benzema | France | Real Madrid | @karimbenzema | 62.5M | 42.29% | 2.96% | $653,493 |
| 8 | Paulo Dybala | Argentina | AS Roma | @paulodybala | 51.5M | 14.46% | 2.96% | $591,972 |
| 9 | Robert Lewandowski | Poland | FC Barcelona | @_rl9 | 31.7M | 37.68% | 3.11% | $353,943 |
| 10 | Eden Hazard | Belgium | Real Madrid | @hazardeden_10 | 27.2M | 1.63% | 3.70% | $413,457 |
Rankings are based on ERS's influencer measurement tool InfluenceScope. We focused on Instagram measurement since it is the platform used by the greatest number of athletes across generations. "The 10 most influential footballers" data is from December 2021-December 2022. The data presented in "The biggest breakthrough players" and "The most popular team accounts" tables reflect growth and engagement during the tournament, November 14-December 18, 2022. Rankings include athletes participating in the 2022 World Cup.
These footballers saw a big growth surge on social media.
| Rank | Player Name | Country | Club | Instagram Handle | Followers | Follower growth | Engagement rate | Average media value of branded posts (USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leo Messi | Argentina | PSG | @leomessi | 398.2M | 6.73% | 4.30% | $6,855,288 |
| 2 | Cristiano Ronaldo | Portugal | Al-Nassr | @cristiano | 518.8M | 4.50% | 3.19% | $6,683,350 |
| 3 | Richarlison | Brazil | Tottenham Hotspur | @richarlison | 19.6M | 178.72% | 26.89% | $1,475,597 |
| 4 | Neymar | Brazil | PSG | @neymarjr | 196.4M | 8% | 4.89% | $3,849,546 |
| 5 | Gue Sung Cho | Korea Republic | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | @whrbtjd | 2.9M | 9349.75% | 224.36% | $1,339,391 |
| 6 | Kylian Mbappé | France | PSG | @k.mbappe | 82.9M | 13.10% | 7.57% | $2,446,623 |
| 7 | Enzo Fernández | Argentina | Benfica | @enzojfernandez | 4M | 383.47% | 51.88% | $518,526 |
| 8 | Zakaria Aboukhlal | Morocco | Toulouse | @zakariaaboukhlal | 2.4M | 352.53% | 41.12% | $257,158 |
| 9 | Sofyan Amrabat | Morocco | Fiorentina | @sofyanamrabat | 2.7M | 290.31% | 20.79% | $146,538 |
| 10 | Yassine Bounou | Morocco | Sevilla | @bounouyassine_bono | 4.9M | 154.03% | 51.11% | $714,660 |
Rankings are based on ERS's influencer measurement tool InfluenceScope. We focused on Instagram measurement since it is the platform used by the greatest number of athletes across generations. "The 10 most influential footballers" data is from December 2021-December 2022. The data presented in "The biggest breakthrough players" and "The most popular team accounts" tables reflect growth and engagement during the tournament, November 14-December 18, 2022. Rankings include athletes participating in the 2022 World Cup.
These teams have the most avid Instagram followers from around the world.
| Rank | Country | Country | Instagram Handle | Followers | Follower growth % | Engagement rate | % of fans outside home countryn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | Brazil | @cbf_futebol | 15.8M | 25.12% | 4.65% | 35.49% |
| 2 | France | France | @equipedefrance | 13.4M | 10.66% | 2.97% | 64.70% |
| 3 | Portugal | Portugal | @portugal | 12.7M | 16.50% | 2.82% | 86.30% |
| 4 | Argentina | Argentina | @afaseleccion | 10.6M | 34.50% | 8.27% | 54.19% |
| 5 | England | England | @england | 9.2M | 6.08% | 1.47% | 79.40% |
| 6 | Mexico | Mexico | @miseleccionmx | 6.5M | 6.96% | 2.02% | 47.31% |
| 7 | Germany | Germany | @dfb_team | 5.3M | 3.61% | 2.23% | 72.78% |
| 8 | Spain | Spain | @sefutbol | 4.7M | 11.56% | 3.01% | 75.83% |
| 9 | Morocco | Morocco | @equipedumaroc | 3.2M | 78.37% | 9.44% | 34.36% |
| 10 | Netherlands | Netherlands | @onsoranje | 1.7M | 13.01% | 4.57% | 73.49% |
Rankings are based on ERS's influencer measurement tool InfluenceScope. We focused on Instagram measurement since it is the platform used by the greatest number of athletes across generations. "The 10 most influential footballers" data is from December 2021-December 2022. The data presented in "The biggest breakthrough players" and "The most popular team accounts" tables reflect growth and engagement during the tournament, November 14-December 18, 2022. Rankings include athletes participating in the 2022 World Cup.
Men’s World Ranking powered by data management
See the men’s national team standings.
Last Updated
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
|
Argentina | 2380 |
| 2 |
|
|
Brazil | 2347 |
| 3 |
|
|
France | 2331 |
| 4 |
|
|
Belgium | 2285 |
| 5 |
|
|
England | 2285 |
| 6 |
|
|
Spain | 2280 |
| 7 |
|
|
Portugal | 2280 |
| 8 |
|
|
Colombia | 2279 |
| 9 |
|
|
Croatia | 2274 |
| 10 |
|
|
Netherlands | 2264 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
|
|
Uruguay | 2255 |
| 12 |
|
|
Italy | 2249 |
| 13 |
|
|
Germany | 2210 |
| 14 |
|
|
Switzerland | 2200 |
| 15 |
|
|
Ecuador | 2200 |
| 16 |
|
|
Japan | 2197 |
| 17 |
|
|
Serbia | 2197 |
| 18 |
|
|
Morocco | 2193 |
| 19 |
|
|
Peru | 2191 |
| 20 |
|
|
Denmark | 2188 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 |
|
|
USA | 2185 |
| 22 |
|
|
Mexico | 2169 |
| 23 |
|
|
Iran | 2168 |
| 24 |
|
|
Scotland | 2157 |
| 25 |
|
|
Ukraine | 2154 |
| 26 |
|
|
Australia | 2149 |
| 27 |
|
|
Senegal | 2147 |
| 28 |
|
|
Canada | 2147 |
| 29 |
|
|
Czech Republic | 2147 |
| 30 |
|
|
Austria | 2142 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 |
|
|
Hungary | 2142 |
| 32 |
|
|
Tunisia | 2139 |
| 33 |
|
|
Korea Republic | 2134 |
| 34 |
|
|
Egypt | 2131 |
| 35 |
|
|
Sweden | 2130 |
| 36 |
|
|
Poland | 2127 |
| 37 |
|
|
Russia | 2125 |
| 38 |
|
|
Algeria | 2119 |
| 39 |
|
|
Chile | 2111 |
| 40 |
|
|
Venezuela | 2110 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 |
|
|
Paraguay | 2109 |
| 42 |
|
|
Costa Rica | 2104 |
| 43 |
|
|
Türkiye | 2101 |
| 44 |
|
|
Norway | 2096 |
| 45 |
|
|
Greece | 2083 |
| 46 |
|
|
Wales | 2075 |
| 47 |
|
|
Panama | 2071 |
| 48 |
|
|
Finland | 2065 |
| 49 |
|
|
Slovenia | 2061 |
| 50 |
|
|
Jordan | 2060 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 |
|
|
Cote d'Ivoire | 2058 |
| 52 |
|
|
Mali | 2056 |
| 53 |
|
|
Uzbekistan | 2053 |
| 54 |
|
|
Nigeria | 2052 |
| 55 |
|
|
Romania | 2052 |
| 56 |
|
|
Republic of Ireland | 2050 |
| 57 |
|
|
Georgia | 2048 |
| 58 |
|
|
Burkina Faso | 2047 |
| 59 |
|
|
Iraq | 2046 |
| 60 |
|
|
Oman | 2044 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 |
|
|
Ghana | 2041 |
| 62 |
|
|
Cameroon | 2037 |
| 63 |
|
|
Qatar | 2033 |
| 64 |
|
|
Haiti | 2030 |
| 65 |
|
|
Saudi Arabia | 2030 |
| 66 |
|
|
Slovakia | 2026 |
| 67 |
|
|
Congo DR | 2025 |
| 68 |
|
|
Bolivia | 2019 |
| 69 |
|
|
Cabo Verde | 2017 |
| 70 |
|
|
New Zealand | 2012 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 |
|
|
Israel | 2006 |
| 72 |
|
|
Mauritania | 2005 |
| 73 |
|
|
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2001 |
| 74 |
|
|
Equatorial Guinea | 1999 |
| 75 |
|
|
South Africa | 1999 |
| 76 |
|
|
Guatemala | 1993 |
| 77 |
|
|
Jamaica | 1993 |
| 78 |
|
|
Angola | 1991 |
| 79 |
|
|
Albania | 1983 |
| 80 |
|
|
Bahrain | 1978 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 |
|
|
North Macedonia | 1977 |
| 82 |
|
|
Zambia | 1976 |
| 83 |
|
|
Honduras | 1973 |
| 84 |
|
|
China PR | 1970 |
| 85 |
|
|
Montenegro | 1969 |
| 86 |
|
|
Bulgaria | 1969 |
| 87 |
|
|
Gambia | 1969 |
| 88 |
|
|
Trinidad and Tobago | 1966 |
| 89 |
|
|
Iceland | 1964 |
| 90 |
|
|
Guinea | 1961 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 |
|
|
United Arab Emirates | 1959 |
| 92 |
|
|
Gabon | 1958 |
| 93 |
|
|
Reunion | 1956 |
| 94 |
|
|
El Salvador | 1955 |
| 95 |
|
|
Northern Ireland | 1953 |
| 96 |
|
|
Palestine | 1953 |
| 97 |
|
|
Martinique | 1951 |
| 98 |
|
|
Kosovo | 1947 |
| 99 |
|
|
Armenia | 1946 |
| 100 |
|
|
Estonia | 1940 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 |
|
|
Kazakhstan | 1939 |
| 102 |
|
|
Vietnam | 1938 |
| 103 |
|
|
Togo | 1933 |
| 104 |
|
|
Kuwait | 1928 |
| 105 |
|
|
Uganda | 1927 |
| 106 |
|
|
Guinea-Bissau | 1922 |
| 107 |
|
|
Luxembourg | 1922 |
| 108 |
|
|
Korea DPR | 1918 |
| 109 |
|
|
French Guiana | 1916 |
| 110 |
|
|
Syria | 1916 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 |
|
|
Kenya | 1914 |
| 112 |
|
|
Namibia | 1913 |
| 113 |
|
|
Benin | 1909 |
| 114 |
|
|
Belarus | 1906 |
| 115 |
|
|
Azerbaijan | 1904 |
| 116 |
|
|
Cuba | 1903 |
| 117 |
|
|
Madagascar | 1898 |
| 118 |
|
|
Mozambique | 1894 |
| 119 |
|
|
Solomon Islands | 1894 |
| 120 |
|
|
Guadeloupe | 1886 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 |
|
|
Curacao | 1885 |
| 122 |
|
|
Thailand | 1884 |
| 123 |
|
|
Mayotte | 1883 |
| 124 |
|
|
Suriname | 1882 |
| 125 |
|
|
Malawi | 1882 |
| 126 |
|
|
New Caledonia | 1881 |
| 127 |
|
|
Tanzania | 1881 |
| 128 |
|
|
Sierra Leone | 1879 |
| 129 |
|
|
Botswana | 1879 |
| 130 |
|
|
Libya | 1878 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 |
|
|
Tajikistan | 1875 |
| 132 |
|
|
Malaysia | 1874 |
| 133 |
|
|
Central African Republic | 1873 |
| 134 |
|
|
Comoros | 1872 |
| 135 |
|
|
Nicaragua | 1870 |
| 136 |
|
|
Lebanon | 1868 |
| 137 |
|
|
Fiji | 1868 |
| 138 |
|
|
Congo | 1867 |
| 139 |
|
|
Ethiopia | 1866 |
| 140 |
|
|
Cyprus | 1863 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 |
|
|
Burundi | 1862 |
| 142 |
|
|
Liberia | 1862 |
| 143 |
|
|
Niger | 1861 |
| 144 |
|
|
Zimbabwe | 1860 |
| 145 |
|
|
Latvia | 1860 |
| 146 |
|
|
Tahiti | 1860 |
| 147 |
|
|
Indonesia | 1855 |
| 148 |
|
|
Sudan | 1854 |
| 149 |
|
|
Rwanda | 1850 |
| 150 |
|
|
Eswatini | 1847 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 |
|
|
India | 1842 |
| 152 |
|
|
St Kitts and Nevis | 1840 |
| 153 |
|
|
Papua New Guinea | 1836 |
| 154 |
|
|
Guyana | 1833 |
| 155 |
|
|
Vanuatu | 1832 |
| 156 |
|
|
Kyrgyz Republic | 1831 |
| 157 |
|
|
Bermuda | 1828 |
| 158 |
|
|
Malta | 1823 |
| 159 |
|
|
Faroe Islands | 1818 |
| 160 |
|
|
Turkmenistan | 1816 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 |
|
|
Dominican Republic | 1814 |
| 162 |
|
|
Moldova | 1814 |
| 163 |
|
|
Lithuania | 1813 |
| 164 |
|
|
Lesotho | 1812 |
| 165 |
|
|
Antigua and Barbuda | 1810 |
| 166 |
|
|
Bonaire | 1806 |
| 167 |
|
|
Puerto Rico | 1790 |
| 168 |
|
|
Chad | 1778 |
| 169 |
|
|
Singapore | 1774 |
| 170 |
|
|
South Sudan | 1771 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 |
|
|
Tuvalu | 1768 |
| 172 |
|
|
Montserrat | 1768 |
| 173 |
|
|
Eritrea | 1764 |
| 174 |
|
|
Sint Maarten | 1757 |
| 175 |
|
|
St Lucia | 1753 |
| 176 |
|
|
Belize | 1750 |
| 177 |
|
|
Hong Kong, China | 1749 |
| 178 |
|
|
Cook Islands | 1747 |
| 179 |
|
|
Barbados | 1743 |
| 180 |
|
|
Sao Tome and Principe | 1740 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181 |
|
|
Afghanistan | 1737 |
| 182 |
|
|
Samoa | 1733 |
| 183 |
|
|
Andorra | 1733 |
| 184 |
|
|
Yemen | 1730 |
| 185 |
|
|
St Vincent and the Grenadines | 1728 |
| 186 |
|
|
Grenada | 1716 |
| 187 |
|
|
Philippines | 1716 |
| 188 |
|
|
Aruba | 1715 |
| 189 |
|
|
Turks and Caicos Islands | 1709 |
| 190 |
|
|
Dominica | 1708 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191 |
|
|
Kiribati | 1703 |
| 192 |
|
|
Bahamas | 1694 |
| 193 |
|
|
Gibraltar | 1691 |
| 194 |
|
|
Djibouti | 1676 |
| 195 |
|
|
American Samoa | 1671 |
| 196 |
|
|
Tonga | 1670 |
| 197 |
|
|
Chinese Taipei | 1669 |
| 198 |
|
|
Saint-Martin | 1664 |
| 199 |
|
|
Mauritius | 1660 |
| 200 |
|
|
Maldives | 1659 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 |
|
|
Cayman Islands | 1643 |
| 202 |
|
|
Myanmar | 1642 |
| 203 |
|
|
Somalia | 1638 |
| 204 |
|
|
Nepal | 1635 |
| 205 |
|
|
Northern Mariana Islands | 1624 |
| 206 |
|
|
Bangladesh | 1624 |
| 207 |
|
|
Seychelles | 1619 |
| 208 |
|
|
Liechtenstein | 1616 |
| 209 |
|
|
Mongolia | 1610 |
| 210 |
|
|
Pakistan | 1603 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 |
|
|
Cambodia | 1594 |
| 212 |
|
|
Anguilla | 1573 |
| 213 |
|
|
US Virgin Islands | 1571 |
| 214 |
|
|
British Virgin Islands | 1543 |
| 215 |
|
|
Guam | 1536 |
| 216 |
|
|
Sri Lanka | 1523 |
| 217 |
|
|
Laos | 1514 |
| 218 |
|
|
Macau | 1507 |
| 219 |
|
|
San Marino | 1500 |
| 220 |
|
|
Brunei Darussalam | 1496 |
| Rank | Position | Team | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 |
|
|
Timor-Leste | 1490 |
| 222 |
|
|
Bhutan | 1469 |
The data management World Football Ranking is a proprietary methodology created in 2002 and based on the Elo system used for ranking chess players. Every time two teams compete, one wins points from the other depending on the result, the winning margin, who is at home and the relative strength of the two teams playing, and the importance of the competition.
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